A client asks: “what happens to my portfolio if markets drop?”
The client wants a number, and wants to know which holding would hurt most. A historical drawdown of the S&P 500 does not answer that for their mix of funds and stocks.
In MEDGE
- 1Open the analyzer (Portfolio → Analyze), use “Import saved” to load the client’s portfolio and press “Compute portfolio”.
- 2Go to the Backtesting tab, then the Stress Lab sub-tab.
- 3Choose a market type (bear, neutral, bull) and a horizon from one week to one year.
- 4Apply one of the 11 starting points, such as “Credit event”, “Tech & semis unwind” or “Rates up, duration sold”, or set your own shocks on any of 45 benchmarks: indices, US sectors, countries, styles, rates and credit, commodities, currencies.
- 5Read the outcome: the portfolio’s expected move with a 90% band, the hardest-hit holding, the best cushion, and the impact holding by holding.
- 6Move the weights in “Change the mix”: results update as you move, so you can show the client what a defensive adjustment changes.
What you get
A concrete answer you can discuss in the meeting: “in this scenario the portfolio loses about 8%, two thirds of it from the tech ETF, and this change halves it”.
Contribution of each holding to the scenario loss, in portfolio points.
Illustrative preview, not a real portfolio.