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Live cattle price today: trend, volatility and seasonality

Data updated October 13, 2026

225.68usd/lbs+0.79% today

Live cattle last traded at 225.68 usd/lbs (close of October 13, 2026), down 3.3% year to date and down 6.6% over twelve months.

It is in a downtrend: both the price and its 50-day average are below the 200-day average, with the price 5.0% below that average.

Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 206.55 and 257.45; today's price sits at 36% of that range.

One-month volatility is 15% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 18.4%.

Returns by period

1W
+1.5%
1M
+2.3%
3M
−2.9%
6M
−11.1%
Year to date
−3.3%
1Y
−6.6%
3Y
—
5Y
—

Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.

Live cattle over five years (start = 100)

100.00110.00120.002026
Spot price, indexed200-day moving average

Trend and risk

Trend (50/200-day)
Downtrend
vs 200-day average
−5.0%
RSI (14 days)
60
Momentum 12-1
−8.7%
Volatility 1M
14.8%
Volatility 1Y
17.9%
Max drawdown 1Y
−18.4%
52-week range position
36%

Futures positioning (CFTC COT)

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 50,695 contracts in Live cattle (17.3% of open interest), near the most short of the past year. MEDGE reads this as “crowded short”. Report of October 6, 2026.

Live cattle COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →

Questions

How has live cattle performed this year?

As of October 13, 2026, Live cattle is −3.3% year to date and −6.6% over the last twelve months, at 225.68 usd/lbs.

Is live cattle above its 200-day moving average?

No: the price is 5.0% below its 200-day average of 236.56. With the 50-day average also below it, the trend reads as down.

How volatile is live cattle?

Its one-month volatility is 14.8% annualised and one-year volatility 17.9%. Current volatility is at the 46th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.

Are hedge funds long or short live cattle?

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 50,695 contracts in Live cattle (17.3% of open interest), near the most short of the past year. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.

Related

Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.