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Lean hogs price today: trend, volatility and seasonality

Data updated October 13, 2026

66.58usd/lbs+0.76% today

Lean hogs last traded at 66.58 usd/lbs (close of October 13, 2026), down 20.1% year to date and down 19.8% over twelve months.

It is in a downtrend: both the price and its 50-day average are below the 200-day average, with the price 24.8% below that average.

Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 68.03 and 103.10; today's price sits at 0% of that range.

One-month volatility is 38% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 34.0%.

Returns by period

1W
−12.7%
1M
−16.6%
3M
−30.9%
6M
−27.8%
Year to date
−20.1%
1Y
−19.8%
3Y
—
5Y
—

Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.

Lean hogs over five years (start = 100)

80.00100.00120.002026
Spot price, indexed200-day moving average

Trend and risk

Trend (50/200-day)
Downtrend
vs 200-day average
−24.8%
RSI (14 days)
17
Momentum 12-1
−3.9%
Volatility 1M
38.3%
Volatility 1Y
28.3%
Max drawdown 1Y
−34.0%
52-week range position
0%

Futures positioning (CFTC COT)

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 41,504 contracts in Lean hogs (14.0% of open interest), near the most short of the past year. MEDGE reads this as “crowded short”. Report of October 6, 2026.

Lean hogs COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →

Questions

How has lean hogs performed this year?

As of October 13, 2026, Lean hogs is −20.1% year to date and −19.8% over the last twelve months, at 66.58 usd/lbs.

Is lean hogs above its 200-day moving average?

No: the price is 24.8% below its 200-day average of 90.40. With the 50-day average also below it, the trend reads as down.

How volatile is lean hogs?

Its one-month volatility is 38.3% annualised and one-year volatility 28.3%. Current volatility is at the 76th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.

Are hedge funds long or short lean hogs?

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 41,504 contracts in Lean hogs (14.0% of open interest), near the most short of the past year. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.

Related

Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.