Crude oil (WTI) price today: trend, volatility and seasonality

Data updated October 13, 2026

95.50usd/bbl+1.44% today

Crude oil (WTI) last traded at 95.50 usd/bbl (close of October 13, 2026), up 63.9% year to date and up 58.2% over twelve months.

It is in an uptrend: both the price and its 50-day average are above the 200-day average, with the price 12.1% above that average.

Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 55.86 and 112.95; today's price sits at 67% of that range.

One-month volatility is 46% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 39.3%.

Returns by period

1W: +5.3%
1M: −5.9%
3M: +18.7%
6M: +3.1%
Year to date: +63.9%
1Y: +58.2%
3Y: —
5Y: —

Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.

Crude oil (WTI) price over five years

Spot price200-day moving average

Trend and risk

Trend (50/200-day): Uptrend
vs 200-day average: +12.1%
RSI (14 days): 55
Momentum 12-1: +68.2%
Volatility 1M: 45.6%
Volatility 1Y: 56.0%
Max drawdown 1Y: −39.3%
52-week range position: 67%

Futures positioning (CFTC COT)

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 53,598 contracts in Crude oil (WTI) (2.8% of open interest), in the upper part of its one-year range. Report of October 6, 2026.

Crude oil (WTI) COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →

Questions

How has crude oil (wti) performed this year?

As of October 13, 2026, Crude oil (WTI) is +63.9% year to date and +58.2% over the last twelve months, at 95.50 usd/bbl.

Is crude oil (wti) above its 200-day moving average?

Yes: the price is 12.1% above its 200-day average of 84.00. With the 50-day average also above it, the trend reads as up.

How volatile is crude oil (wti)?

Its one-month volatility is 45.6% annualised and one-year volatility 56.0%. Current volatility is at the 58th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.

Are hedge funds long or short crude oil (wti)?

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 53,598 contracts in Crude oil (WTI) (2.8% of open interest), in the upper part of its one-year range. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.

Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.