Crude oil (WTI) price today: trend, volatility and seasonality

Data updated October 13, 2026

97.52usd/bbl−0.46% today

Crude oil (WTI) last traded at 97.52 usd/bbl (close of October 13, 2026), up 63.9% year to date and up 58.2% over twelve months.

It is in an uptrend: both the price and its 50-day average are above the 200-day average, with the price 12.1% above that average.

Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 55.86 and 112.95; today's price sits at 67% of that range.

One-month volatility is 46% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 39.3%.

Returns by period

1W: +5.3%
1M: −5.9%
3M: +18.7%
6M: +3.1%
Year to date: +63.9%
1Y: +58.2%
3Y: —
5Y: —

Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.

Crude oil (WTI) over five years (start = 100)

Spot price, indexed200-day moving average

Trend and risk

Trend (50/200-day): Uptrend
vs 200-day average: +12.1%
RSI (14 days): 55
Momentum 12-1: +68.2%
Volatility 1M: 45.6%
Volatility 1Y: 56.0%
Max drawdown 1Y: −39.3%
52-week range position: 67%

Futures positioning (CFTC COT)

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 53,598 contracts in Crude oil (WTI) (2.8% of open interest), in the upper part of its one-year range. Report of October 6, 2026.

Crude oil (WTI) COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →

Questions

How has crude oil (wti) performed this year?

As of October 13, 2026, Crude oil (WTI) is +63.9% year to date and +58.2% over the last twelve months, at 97.52 usd/bbl.

Is crude oil (wti) above its 200-day moving average?

Yes: the price is 12.1% above its 200-day average of 84.00. With the 50-day average also above it, the trend reads as up.

How volatile is crude oil (wti)?

Its one-month volatility is 45.6% annualised and one-year volatility 56.0%. Current volatility is at the 58th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.

Are hedge funds long or short crude oil (wti)?

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 53,598 contracts in Crude oil (WTI) (2.8% of open interest), in the upper part of its one-year range. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.

Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.