Brent crude price today: trend, volatility and seasonality

Data updated October 13, 2026

106.21usd/bbl+0.50% today

Brent crude last traded at 106.21 usd/bbl (close of October 13, 2026), up 73.7% year to date and up 66.9% over twelve months.

It is in an uptrend: both the price and its 50-day average are above the 200-day average, with the price 18.0% above that average.

Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 58.92 and 114.44; today's price sits at 84% of that range.

One-month volatility is 49% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 37.5%.

Returns by period

1W: +5.1%
1M: +1.0%
3M: +24.7%
6M: +11.5%
Year to date: +73.7%
1Y: +66.9%
3Y: —
5Y: —

Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.

Brent crude price over five years

Spot price200-day moving average

Trend and risk

Trend (50/200-day): Uptrend
vs 200-day average: +18.0%
RSI (14 days): 58
Momentum 12-1: +65.2%
Volatility 1M: 49.0%
Volatility 1Y: 53.5%
Max drawdown 1Y: −37.5%
52-week range position: 84%

Futures positioning (CFTC COT)

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 3,357 contracts in Brent crude (1.5% of open interest), near the most short of the past year. MEDGE reads this as “crowded short”. Report of October 6, 2026.

Brent crude COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →

Questions

How has brent crude performed this year?

As of October 13, 2026, Brent crude is +73.7% year to date and +66.9% over the last twelve months, at 106.21 usd/bbl.

Is brent crude above its 200-day moving average?

Yes: the price is 18.0% above its 200-day average of 89.53. With the 50-day average also above it, the trend reads as up.

How volatile is brent crude?

Its one-month volatility is 49.0% annualised and one-year volatility 53.5%. Current volatility is at the 65th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.

Are hedge funds long or short brent crude?

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 3,357 contracts in Brent crude (1.5% of open interest), near the most short of the past year. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.

Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.