Skip to content

Coffee price today: trend, volatility and seasonality

Data updated October 13, 2026

298.70usd/lbs+0.22% today

Coffee last traded at 298.70 usd/lbs (close of October 13, 2026), down 16.0% year to date and down 24.0% over twelve months.

It is without a clear trend: the price and its 50-day average sit on different sides of the 200-day average, with the price 2.2% below that average.

Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 244.60 and 423.95; today's price sits at 27% of that range.

One-month volatility is 30% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 42.3%.

Returns by period

1W
−3.9%
1M
+2.5%
3M
−10.2%
6M
−1.6%
Year to date
−16.0%
1Y
−24.0%
3Y
—
5Y
—

Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.

Coffee over five years (start = 100)

60.0080.00100.002026
Spot price, indexed200-day moving average

Trend and risk

Trend (50/200-day)
Mixed
vs 200-day average
−2.2%
RSI (14 days)
51
Momentum 12-1
−25.8%
Volatility 1M
30.4%
Volatility 1Y
41.1%
Max drawdown 1Y
−42.3%
52-week range position
27%

Futures positioning (CFTC COT)

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 19,036 contracts in Coffee (11.7% of open interest), in the lower part of its one-year range. Report of October 6, 2026.

Coffee COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →

Questions

How has coffee performed this year?

As of October 13, 2026, Coffee is −16.0% year to date and −24.0% over the last twelve months, at 298.70 usd/lbs.

Is coffee above its 200-day moving average?

No: the price is 2.2% below its 200-day average of 299.43. With the 50-day average on the other side, the trend reads as mixed.

How volatile is coffee?

Its one-month volatility is 30.4% annualised and one-year volatility 41.1%. Current volatility is at the 25th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.

Are hedge funds long or short coffee?

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 19,036 contracts in Coffee (11.7% of open interest), in the lower part of its one-year range. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.

Related

Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.