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Coffee price today: trend, volatility and seasonality

Data updated October 13, 2026

303.06usd/lbs+3.54% today

Coffee last traded at 303.06 usd/lbs (close of October 13, 2026), down 16.0% year to date and down 24.0% over twelve months.

It is without a clear trend: the price and its 50-day average sit on different sides of the 200-day average, with the price 2.2% below that average.

Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 244.60 and 423.95; today's price sits at 27% of that range.

One-month volatility is 30% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 42.3%.

Returns by period

1W
−3.9%
1M
+2.5%
3M
−10.2%
6M
−1.6%
Year to date
−16.0%
1Y
−24.0%
3Y
—
5Y
—

Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.

Coffee price over five years

300.00400.002026
Spot price200-day moving average

Trend and risk

Trend (50/200-day)
Mixed
vs 200-day average
−2.2%
RSI (14 days)
51
Momentum 12-1
−25.8%
Volatility 1M
30.4%
Volatility 1Y
41.1%
Max drawdown 1Y
−42.3%
52-week range position
27%

Futures positioning (CFTC COT)

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 19,036 contracts in Coffee (11.7% of open interest), in the lower part of its one-year range. Report of October 6, 2026.

Coffee COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →

Questions

How has coffee performed this year?

As of October 13, 2026, Coffee is −16.0% year to date and −24.0% over the last twelve months, at 303.06 usd/lbs.

Is coffee above its 200-day moving average?

No: the price is 2.2% below its 200-day average of 299.43. With the 50-day average on the other side, the trend reads as mixed.

How volatile is coffee?

Its one-month volatility is 30.4% annualised and one-year volatility 41.1%. Current volatility is at the 25th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.

Are hedge funds long or short coffee?

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 19,036 contracts in Coffee (11.7% of open interest), in the lower part of its one-year range. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.

Related

Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.