Cocoa price today: trend, volatility and seasonality
Data updated October 13, 2026
5,769usd/t+0.60% today
Cocoa last traded at 5,769 usd/t (close of October 13, 2026), down 5.5% year to date and down 1.5% over twelve months.
It is in an uptrend: both the price and its 50-day average are above the 200-day average, with the price 25.3% above that average.
Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 0.912 and 6,771; today's price sits at 85% of that range.
One-month volatility is 44% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 100.0%.
Returns by period
- 1W
- +0.6%
- 1M
- −3.8%
- 3M
- −1.3%
- 6M
- +57.2%
- Year to date
- −5.5%
- 1Y
- −1.5%
- 3Y
- —
- 5Y
- —
Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.
Cocoa over five years (start = 100)
Trend and risk
- Trend (50/200-day)
- Uptrend
- vs 200-day average
- +25.3%
- RSI (14 days)
- 51
- Momentum 12-1
- +2.4%
- Volatility 1M
- 44.0%
- Volatility 1Y
- 1222.4%
- Max drawdown 1Y
- −100.0%
- 52-week range position
- 85%
Futures positioning (CFTC COT)
Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 11,052 contracts in Cocoa (6.1% of open interest), around the middle of its one-year range. Report of October 6, 2026.
Cocoa COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →
Questions
How has cocoa performed this year?
As of October 13, 2026, Cocoa is −5.5% year to date and −1.5% over the last twelve months, at 5,769 usd/t.
Is cocoa above its 200-day moving average?
Yes: the price is 25.3% above its 200-day average of 4,575. With the 50-day average also above it, the trend reads as up.
How volatile is cocoa?
Its one-month volatility is 44.0% annualised and one-year volatility 1222.4%. Current volatility is at the 24th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.
Are hedge funds long or short cocoa?
Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 11,052 contracts in Cocoa (6.1% of open interest), around the middle of its one-year range. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.
Related
Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.