Cocoa price today: trend, volatility and seasonality
Data updated October 13, 2026
5,910usd/t+3.10% today
Cocoa last traded at 5,910 usd/t (close of October 13, 2026), down 5.5% year to date and down 1.5% over twelve months.
It is in an uptrend: both the price and its 50-day average are above the 200-day average, with the price 25.3% above that average.
Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 0.912 and 6,771; today's price sits at 85% of that range.
One-month volatility is 44% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 100.0%.
Returns by period
- 1W
- +0.6%
- 1M
- −3.8%
- 3M
- −1.3%
- 6M
- +57.2%
- Year to date
- −5.5%
- 1Y
- −1.5%
- 3Y
- —
- 5Y
- —
Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.
Cocoa price over five years
Trend and risk
- Trend (50/200-day)
- Uptrend
- vs 200-day average
- +25.3%
- RSI (14 days)
- 51
- Momentum 12-1
- +2.4%
- Volatility 1M
- 44.0%
- Volatility 1Y
- 1222.4%
- Max drawdown 1Y
- −100.0%
- 52-week range position
- 85%
Futures positioning (CFTC COT)
Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 11,052 contracts in Cocoa (6.1% of open interest), around the middle of its one-year range. Report of October 6, 2026.
Cocoa COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →
Questions
How has cocoa performed this year?
As of October 13, 2026, Cocoa is −5.5% year to date and −1.5% over the last twelve months, at 5,910 usd/t.
Is cocoa above its 200-day moving average?
Yes: the price is 25.3% above its 200-day average of 4,575. With the 50-day average also above it, the trend reads as up.
How volatile is cocoa?
Its one-month volatility is 44.0% annualised and one-year volatility 1222.4%. Current volatility is at the 24th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.
Are hedge funds long or short cocoa?
Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 11,052 contracts in Cocoa (6.1% of open interest), around the middle of its one-year range. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.
Related
Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.