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Oats price today: trend, volatility and seasonality

Data updated October 13, 2026

395.50usd/bu−0.50% today

Oats last traded at 395.50 usd/bu (close of October 13, 2026), up 37.5% year to date and up 40.7% over twelve months.

It is in an uptrend: both the price and its 50-day average are above the 200-day average, with the price 24.0% above that average.

Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 259.75 and 433.75; today's price sits at 90% of that range.

One-month volatility is 33% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 31.7%.

Returns by period

1W
−3.5%
1M
+16.7%
3M
+17.8%
6M
+20.6%
Year to date
+37.5%
1Y
+40.7%
3Y
—
5Y
—

Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.

Oats over five years (start = 100)

80.00100.002026
Spot price, indexed200-day moving average

Trend and risk

Trend (50/200-day)
Uptrend
vs 200-day average
+24.0%
RSI (14 days)
57
Momentum 12-1
+20.6%
Volatility 1M
33.2%
Volatility 1Y
44.6%
Max drawdown 1Y
−31.7%
52-week range position
90%

Futures positioning (CFTC COT)

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 1,100 contracts in Oats (28.5% of open interest), near the most long of the past year. MEDGE reads this as “crowded long”. Report of October 6, 2026.

Oats COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →

Questions

How has oats performed this year?

As of October 13, 2026, Oats is +37.5% year to date and +40.7% over the last twelve months, at 395.50 usd/bu.

Is oats above its 200-day moving average?

Yes: the price is 24.0% above its 200-day average of 335.10. With the 50-day average also above it, the trend reads as up.

How volatile is oats?

Its one-month volatility is 33.2% annualised and one-year volatility 44.6%. Current volatility is at the 45th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.

Are hedge funds long or short oats?

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 1,100 contracts in Oats (28.5% of open interest), near the most long of the past year. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.

Related

Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.