Gold price today: trend, volatility and seasonality
Data updated October 13, 2026
4,156usd/t.oz−0.37% today
Gold last traded at 4,156 usd/t.oz (close of October 13, 2026), down 3.7% year to date and up 0.8% over twelve months.
It is in a downtrend: both the price and its 50-day average are below the 200-day average, with the price 8.1% below that average.
Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 3,931 and 5,440; today's price sits at 15% of that range.
One-month volatility is 21% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 26.9%.
Returns by period
- 1W
- −0.1%
- 1M
- −4.3%
- 3M
- +2.6%
- 6M
- −14.1%
- Year to date
- −3.7%
- 1Y
- +0.8%
- 3Y
- —
- 5Y
- —
Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.
Gold over five years (start = 100)
Trend and risk
- Trend (50/200-day)
- Downtrend
- vs 200-day average
- −8.1%
- RSI (14 days)
- 43
- Momentum 12-1
- +5.4%
- Volatility 1M
- 20.6%
- Volatility 1Y
- 28.3%
- Max drawdown 1Y
- −26.9%
- 52-week range position
- 15%
Futures positioning (CFTC COT)
Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 110,987 contracts in Gold (28.0% of open interest), in the lower part of its one-year range. Report of October 6, 2026.
Gold COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →
Questions
How has gold performed this year?
As of October 13, 2026, Gold is −3.7% year to date and +0.8% over the last twelve months, at 4,156 usd/t.oz.
Is gold above its 200-day moving average?
No: the price is 8.1% below its 200-day average of 4,528. With the 50-day average also below it, the trend reads as down.
How volatile is gold?
Its one-month volatility is 20.6% annualised and one-year volatility 28.3%. Current volatility is at the 41th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.
Are hedge funds long or short gold?
Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 110,987 contracts in Gold (28.0% of open interest), in the lower part of its one-year range. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.
Related
Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.