Gold price today: trend, volatility and seasonality
Data updated October 13, 2026
4,154usd/t.oz−0.18% today
Gold last traded at 4,154 usd/t.oz (close of October 13, 2026), down 3.7% year to date and up 0.8% over twelve months.
It is in a downtrend: both the price and its 50-day average are below the 200-day average, with the price 8.1% below that average.
Over the past 52 weeks it has ranged between 3,931 and 5,440; today's price sits at 15% of that range.
One-month volatility is 21% annualised, close to the middle of its historical range, and the largest fall from a high in the last year was 26.9%.
Returns by period
- 1W
- −0.1%
- 1M
- −4.3%
- 3M
- +2.6%
- 6M
- −14.1%
- Year to date
- −3.7%
- 1Y
- +0.8%
- 3Y
- —
- 5Y
- —
Spot price changes, close to close. They do not include the roll cost or carry of futures, which is what commodity ETFs earn.
Gold price over five years
Trend and risk
- Trend (50/200-day)
- Downtrend
- vs 200-day average
- −8.1%
- RSI (14 days)
- 43
- Momentum 12-1
- +5.4%
- Volatility 1M
- 20.6%
- Volatility 1Y
- 28.3%
- Max drawdown 1Y
- −26.9%
- 52-week range position
- 15%
Futures positioning (CFTC COT)
Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 110,987 contracts in Gold (28.0% of open interest), in the lower part of its one-year range. Report of October 6, 2026.
Gold COT report: positions, history and what followed extremes →
Questions
How has gold performed this year?
As of October 13, 2026, Gold is −3.7% year to date and +0.8% over the last twelve months, at 4,154 usd/t.oz.
Is gold above its 200-day moving average?
No: the price is 8.1% below its 200-day average of 4,528. With the 50-day average also below it, the trend reads as down.
How volatile is gold?
Its one-month volatility is 20.6% annualised and one-year volatility 28.3%. Current volatility is at the 41th percentile of all one-month windows in the available history.
Are hedge funds long or short gold?
Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net long position of 110,987 contracts in Gold (28.0% of open interest), in the lower part of its one-year range. Figures from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report of October 6, 2026.
Related
Source: MarketStack commodity prices; CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.