Skip to content

Ultra Treasury bond COT report: hedge fund and commercial positioning

Data updated October 6, 2026 (positions as of Tuesday)

Ultra US Treasury bond futures (25 years and longer) on the CBOT.

Leveraged funds (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 726,257 contracts in Ultra Treasury bond (30.2% of open interest), in the upper part of its one-year range.

Asset managers (pension funds, insurers, mutual funds) held a net long position of 755,759 contracts in Ultra Treasury bond (31.4% of open interest), near the most short of the past year.

Dealers (banks and market makers) held a net short position of 88,755 contracts in Ultra Treasury bond (3.7% of open interest), near the most long of the past year.

Positions this week

GroupNet contracts% of OI1 week4 weeksIndex 52WIndex 3Y
Leveraged funds-726,257-30.2%82,613138,0146145
Asset managers755,75931.4%-77,453-269,391026
Dealers-88,755-3.7%10,289122,57510079

Open interest 2,404,377 contracts. Report of October 6, 2026 (Traders in Financial Futures, futures only).

Net positions, three years

0%50%202420252026
Leveraged fundsAsset managersDealers

Questions

Are hedge funds long or short Ultra Treasury bond?

Leveraged funds (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 726,257 contracts in Ultra Treasury bond (30.2% of open interest), in the upper part of its one-year range. Report of October 6, 2026.

What is the COT report?

The Commitments of Traders is a weekly CFTC report of open positions in US futures markets, split by type of trader. It reflects positions as of Tuesday and is published on Friday afternoon. Commodity markets use the Disaggregated report (producers, swap dealers, managed money); financial futures use the Traders in Financial Futures report (dealers, asset managers, leveraged funds).

What is the COT index?

It places the latest net position between the lowest (0) and highest (100) of a look-back window, here 52 weeks and 3 years. Readings near 0 or 100 mean the group is at an extreme of its recent range; they describe positioning and do not predict prices on their own.

Related

Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders (Traders in Financial Futures, futures only). Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.