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Natural gas (Henry Hub) COT report: hedge fund and commercial positioning

Data updated October 6, 2026 (positions as of Tuesday)

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 144,537 contracts in Natural gas (Henry Hub) (8.0% of open interest), near the most short of the past year.

Over the last four weeks the net position changed by -47,795 contracts (−2.7 points of open interest), while the spot price moved +6.8%.

Producers and merchants (commercial hedgers) held a net short position of 8,229 contracts in Natural gas (Henry Hub) (0.5% of open interest), around the middle of its one-year range.

Positions this week

Managed money net
-144,537
Net % of open interest
-8.0%
Change 1 week
-11,738
Change 4 weeks
-47,795
COT index 52 weeks
0
COT index 3 years
6
Producers index 52 weeks
45
Reading
Crowded short

Net positions and price, three years

-10%-5%0%5%202420252026
Managed money, net % of open interestProducers and merchants
3.0004.000202420252026
Natural gas (Henry Hub) spot price (USD/MMBtu)

What followed extreme positioning

Managed money atWeeksNext 4 weeksNext 12 weeksUp after 12 weeks
Top of 52-week range (index ≥ 90)0———
Bottom of 52-week range (index ≤ 10)10+1.4%−11.4%10%
All weeks63−0.0%−1.1%37%

Spot change after each weekly report, 6.0 years of data. Windows overlap, so the number of independent episodes is smaller than the week count.

Questions

Are hedge funds long or short natural gas (henry hub)?

Managed money (hedge funds and CTAs) held a net short position of 144,537 contracts in Natural gas (Henry Hub) (8.0% of open interest), near the most short of the past year. Report of October 6, 2026.

What is the COT report?

The Commitments of Traders is a weekly CFTC report of open positions in US futures markets, split by type of trader. It reflects positions as of Tuesday and is published on Friday afternoon. Commodity markets use the Disaggregated report (producers, swap dealers, managed money); financial futures use the Traders in Financial Futures report (dealers, asset managers, leveraged funds).

What is the COT index?

It places the latest net position between the lowest (0) and highest (100) of a look-back window, here 52 weeks and 3 years. Readings near 0 or 100 mean the group is at an extreme of its recent range; they describe positioning and do not predict prices on their own.

Related

Source: CFTC Commitments of Traders (Disaggregated, futures only); MarketStack commodity prices. Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.