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GOVT vs EDV: returns, risk and drawdowns compared

iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETF against Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF, over the same 14 years (March 2012 to October 2026) with dividends reinvested.

Data updated October 2026

From March 2012 to October 2026, GOVT returned 1.0% a year and EDV 0.6% a year on average, so GOVT came out ahead by 1.6% a year. EDV was the more volatile of the two (18.6% against 4.5% a year), and the deepest falls from a month-end high were 19.2% for GOVT and 59.6% for EDV.

The correlation of monthly returns was 0.89: they usually moved together. Over 141 rolling 3-year periods, GOVT did better in 45% and EDV in 55%.

Side by side

GOVTEDV
Annual return (CAGR)+1.0%−0.6%
Total return+16%−8%
Annual volatility4.5%18.6%
Maximum drawdown (month-end)−19.2%−59.6%
Worst month−3.4%−12.6%
Best month+3.5%+15.5%
Positive months51%48%
Best year2019: +7.4%2014: +44.6%
Worst year2022: −13.4%2022: −39.1%
1-year return−2.0%−14.2%
5 years, a year−0.7%−11.9%
10 years, a year+0.6%−4.1%
Trading currencyUSDUSD

First nine rows: the same 176 months for both funds. Trailing returns: to each fund’s last close.

Growth of 10,000: GOVT vs EDV

10,00015,00020,0002013201520172019202120232025
GOVT — iShares U.S. Treasury Bond ETFEDV — Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF

Returns by calendar year

YearGOVTEDV
2025+3.8%+0.7%
2024+2.9%−12.8%
2023+4.2%+1.7%
2022−13.4%−39.1%
2021−1.1%−6.2%
2020+6.3%+23.6%
2019+7.4%+18.7%
2018+0.3%−3.4%
2017+2.2%+13.9%
2016+0.8%+1.6%
2015+0.9%−4.9%
2014+4.7%+44.6%
2013−2.5%−19.8%

How the figures are calculated

Total return in the fund’s trading currency, from end-of-day prices with dividends reinvested on the ex-date. The fund’s own ongoing charges are already reflected in its price; trading costs, taxes and currency conversion are not included. Past returns do not predict future returns.

The comparison uses only the months in which both funds have prices, so the figures cover the same period even when one fund is older.

Questions

Which has returned more, GOVT or EDV?

From March 2012 to October 2026, GOVT returned +1.0% a year and EDV −0.6% a year, with dividends reinvested. Over rolling 3-year periods GOVT did better in 45% of cases. Past returns do not predict future returns.

Which is riskier, GOVT or EDV?

Over the same months annual volatility was 4.5% for GOVT and 18.6% for EDV; the deepest fall from a month-end high was 19.2% and 59.6%, and the worst single month −3.4% and −12.6%.

How correlated are GOVT and EDV?

The correlation of their monthly returns was 0.89: they usually moved together. Combining them has historically given some diversification.

More comparisons

Source: MarketStack end-of-day prices, total return with dividends reinvested. Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.