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VTIP vs IBCI: returns, risk and drawdowns compared

Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF against iShares € Inflation Linked Govt Bond UCITS ETF (Acc), over the same 14 years (November 2012 to October 2026) with dividends reinvested.

Data updated October 2026

From November 2012 to October 2026, VTIP returned 2.2% a year and IBCI 1.3% a year on average, so VTIP came out ahead by 1.0% a year. IBCI was the more volatile of the two (5.7% against 2.3% a year), and the deepest falls from a month-end high were 4.6% for VTIP and 12.8% for IBCI.

The correlation of monthly returns was 0.60: they moved together only in part. Over 133 rolling 3-year periods, VTIP did better in 68% and IBCI in 32%.

VTIP trades in USD and IBCI in EUR: each return is in its own currency, so part of the gap reflects the move of the euro against the dollar.

Side by side

VTIPIBCI
Annual return (CAGR)+2.2%+1.3%
Total return+36%+19%
Annual volatility2.3%5.7%
Maximum drawdown (month-end)−4.6%−12.8%
Worst month−2.9%−6.8%
Best month+2.0%+6.1%
Positive months63%55%
Best year2025: +6.1%2019: +6.5%
Worst year2022: −2.9%2022: −9.6%
1-year return+1.7%−1.6%
5 years, a year+3.0%−0.8%
10 years, a year+3.1%+0.9%
Trading currencyUSDEUR

First nine rows: the same 168 months for both funds. Trailing returns: to each fund’s last close.

Growth of 10,000: VTIP vs IBCI

10,00012,0002013201520172019202120232025
VTIP — Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETFIBCI — iShares € Inflation Linked Govt Bond UCITS ETF (Acc)

Returns by calendar year

YearVTIPIBCI
2025+6.1%+0.8%
2024+4.7%+0.1%
2023+5.2%+5.6%
2022−2.9%−9.6%
2021+5.4%+6.2%
2020+5.0%+2.7%
2019+5.2%+6.5%
2018+0.6%−1.7%
2017+0.8%+1.1%
2016+2.5%+3.6%
2015+0.2%+0.7%
2014−1.4%+5.4%
2013−1.5%−4.2%

How the figures are calculated

Total return in the fund’s trading currency, from end-of-day prices with dividends reinvested on the ex-date. The fund’s own ongoing charges are already reflected in its price; trading costs, taxes and currency conversion are not included. Past returns do not predict future returns.

The comparison uses only the months in which both funds have prices, so the figures cover the same period even when one fund is older.

Questions

Which has returned more, VTIP or IBCI?

From November 2012 to October 2026, VTIP returned +2.2% a year and IBCI +1.3% a year, with dividends reinvested, each in its own trading currency (USD and EUR). Over rolling 3-year periods VTIP did better in 68% of cases. Past returns do not predict future returns.

Which is riskier, VTIP or IBCI?

Over the same months annual volatility was 2.3% for VTIP and 5.7% for IBCI; the deepest fall from a month-end high was 4.6% and 12.8%, and the worst single month −2.9% and −6.8%.

How correlated are VTIP and IBCI?

The correlation of their monthly returns was 0.60: they moved together only in part. Combining them has historically given some diversification.

More comparisons

Source: MarketStack end-of-day prices, total return with dividends reinvested. Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.