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VGLT: Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETF returns, drawdowns and risk

Funds on US government bonds, from a few months to 30 years. The longer the maturity, the larger the moves when interest rates change.

Data updated October 2026

VGLT · US exchange · USDCategory: US Treasury bond ETFsData from January 2010

From January 2010 to October 2026 VGLT returned 2.5% a year on average with dividends reinvested, in US dollars: $10,000 invested at the start grew to $15,098.

Its deepest fall was 46.2%, from August 2020 to October 2023, and it has not yet returned to the previous high. Annual volatility was 13.3%; at the last close it was 39.4% below its high.

Against AGG (iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF), over the 201 months both have data, the correlation of monthly returns was 0.87: they usually moved together. Beta was 2.44. In months when AGG rose, VGLT moved 234% as much on average; in months when AGG fell, 287% as much.

Key figures

Annual return (CAGR)
+2.5%
1-year return
−7.6%
5 years, a year
−6.5%
10 years, a year
−1.6%
Annual volatility
13.3%
Maximum drawdown
−46.2%
Sharpe ratio
0.15
Worst year
2022: −29.3%

Trailing returns

PeriodVGLTAGG
1 year−7.6%−1.9%
3 years, a year+3.8%+5.2%
5 years, a year−6.5%−0.3%
10 years, a year−1.6%+1.2%

To the last close of October 2026. Periods longer than a year are annualised.

Growth of $10,000: VGLT vs AGG

$10,000$15,000$20,00020112013201520172019202120232025
VGLT — Vanguard Long-Term Treasury ETFAGG — iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

Month-end values from February 2010, the first month both funds have data.

VGLT drawdowns

-40%-20%0%20112013201520172019202120232025

Percentage below the previous high, weekly.

Returns by calendar year

YearVGLTAGG
2026(partial)−4.5%−1.8%
2025+5.3%+7.2%
2024−6.3%+1.3%
2023+3.3%+5.7%
2022−29.3%−13.0%
2021−5.0%−1.8%
2020+17.6%+7.5%
2019+14.3%+8.5%
2018−1.5%+0.1%
2017+8.6%+3.5%
2016+1.2%+2.4%
2015−1.0%+0.5%
2014+25.9%+6.0%
2013−12.4%−2.0%
2012+3.3%+3.8%
2011+29.2%+7.7%
2010(partial)+9.0%—

VGLT compared

How the figures are calculated

Total return in the fund’s trading currency, from end-of-day prices with dividends reinvested on the ex-date. The fund’s own ongoing charges are already reflected in its price; trading costs, taxes and currency conversion are not included. Past returns do not predict future returns.

Sharpe ratio uses the return of short-term government bills in the same currency as the risk-free rate. The growth chart uses month-end values; drawdowns and volatility use daily closes.

Questions

What is the average annual return of VGLT?

From January 2010 to October 2026 VGLT returned 2.5% a year on average (CAGR) with dividends reinvested, in USD. Over the last 5 years: −6.5% a year. Over the last 12 months: −7.6%.

What was the worst drawdown of VGLT?

46.2%, from August 2020 to October 2023; it has not yet returned to the previous high.

How volatile is VGLT?

Annual volatility was 13.3% over the period. Its worst month was −9.2% and 50% of months were positive. Worst calendar year: 2022 (−29.3%).

How closely does VGLT follow AGG?

Over 201 months the correlation of monthly returns was 0.87, so they usually moved together, with a beta of 2.44.

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Other US Treasury bond ETFs

Source: MarketStack end-of-day prices, total return with dividends reinvested. Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.