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VGIT: Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETF returns, drawdowns and risk

Funds on US government bonds, from a few months to 30 years. The longer the maturity, the larger the moves when interest rates change.

Data updated October 2026

VGIT · US exchange · USDCategory: US Treasury bond ETFsData from November 2009

From November 2009 to October 2026 VGIT returned 2.0% a year on average with dividends reinvested, in US dollars: $10,000 invested at the start grew to $13,920.

Its deepest fall was 16.6%, from August 2020 to October 2022, and it has not yet returned to the previous high. Annual volatility was 4.4%; at the last close it was 4.6% below its high.

Against AGG (iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF), over the 203 months both have data, the correlation of monthly returns was 0.91: they moved almost in lockstep. Beta was 0.88. In months when AGG rose, VGIT moved 91% as much on average; in months when AGG fell, 93% as much.

Key figures

Annual return (CAGR)
+2.0%
1-year return
−2.1%
5 years, a year
−0.0%
10 years, a year
+0.9%
Annual volatility
4.4%
Maximum drawdown
−16.6%
Sharpe ratio
0.15
Worst year
2022: −10.5%

Trailing returns

PeriodVGITAGG
1 year−2.1%−1.9%
3 years, a year+4.2%+5.2%
5 years, a year−0.0%−0.3%
10 years, a year+0.9%+1.2%

To the last close of October 2026. Periods longer than a year are annualised.

Growth of $10,000: VGIT vs AGG

$10,000$12,000$14,000201020132016201920222025
VGIT — Vanguard Intermediate-Term Treasury ETFAGG — iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

Month-end values from December 2009, the first month both funds have data.

VGIT drawdowns

-15%-10%-5%0%201020132016201920222025

Percentage below the previous high, weekly.

Returns by calendar year

YearVGITAGG
2026(partial)−2.1%−1.8%
2025+7.3%+7.2%
2024+1.4%+1.3%
2023+4.3%+5.7%
2022−10.5%−13.0%
2021−2.6%−1.8%
2020+7.0%+7.5%
2019+6.2%+8.5%
2018+1.4%+0.1%
2017+1.7%+3.5%
2016+0.8%+2.4%
2015+1.6%+0.5%
2014+4.6%+6.0%
2013−2.9%−2.0%
2012+2.2%+3.8%
2011+9.6%+7.7%
2010+7.5%+6.4%
2009(partial)−2.0%—

How the figures are calculated

Total return in the fund’s trading currency, from end-of-day prices with dividends reinvested on the ex-date. The fund’s own ongoing charges are already reflected in its price; trading costs, taxes and currency conversion are not included. Past returns do not predict future returns.

Sharpe ratio uses the return of short-term government bills in the same currency as the risk-free rate. The growth chart uses month-end values; drawdowns and volatility use daily closes.

Questions

What is the average annual return of VGIT?

From November 2009 to October 2026 VGIT returned 2.0% a year on average (CAGR) with dividends reinvested, in USD. Over the last 5 years: −0.0% a year. Over the last 12 months: −2.1%.

What was the worst drawdown of VGIT?

16.6%, from August 2020 to October 2022; it has not yet returned to the previous high.

How volatile is VGIT?

Annual volatility was 4.4% over the period. Its worst month was −3.3% and 54% of months were positive. Worst calendar year: 2022 (−10.5%).

How closely does VGIT follow AGG?

Over 203 months the correlation of monthly returns was 0.91, so they moved almost in lockstep, with a beta of 0.88.

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Other US Treasury bond ETFs

Source: MarketStack end-of-day prices, total return with dividends reinvested. Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.