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DBC vs CPER: returns, risk and drawdowns compared

Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund against United States Copper Index Fund, over the same 14 years (December 2011 to October 2026) with dividends reinvested.

Data updated October 2026

From December 2011 to October 2026, DBC returned 2.4% a year and CPER 3.1% a year on average, so CPER came out ahead by 0.6% a year. CPER was the more volatile of the two (19.6% against 16.9% a year), and the deepest falls from a month-end high were 61.7% for DBC and 50.0% for CPER.

The correlation of monthly returns was 0.49: they moved together only in part. Over 144 rolling 3-year periods, DBC did better in 30% and CPER in 70%.

Side by side

DBCCPER
Annual return (CAGR)+2.4%+3.1%
Total return+43%+57%
Annual volatility16.9%19.6%
Maximum drawdown (month-end)−61.7%−50.0%
Worst month−17.3%−14.4%
Best month+15.3%+16.9%
Positive months53%53%
Best year2021: +41.4%2025: +39.0%
Worst year2014: −28.1%2015: −25.0%
1-year return+56.6%+29.5%
5 years, a year+12.3%+7.3%
10 years, a year+10.0%+11.1%
Trading currencyUSDUSD

First nine rows: the same 179 months for both funds. Trailing returns: to each fund’s last close.

Growth of 10,000: DBC vs CPER

5,00010,00015,00020122014201620182020202220242026
DBC — Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking FundCPER — United States Copper Index Fund

Returns by calendar year

YearDBCCPER
2025+8.1%+39.0%
2024+2.2%+4.2%
2023−6.2%+4.5%
2022+19.3%−15.1%
2021+41.4%+25.2%
2020−7.8%+23.9%
2019+11.8%+6.7%
2018−11.6%−21.9%
2017+4.9%+28.8%
2016+18.6%+14.6%
2015−27.6%−25.0%
2014−28.1%−17.0%
2013−7.6%−8.5%
2012+3.5%+2.1%

How the figures are calculated

Total return in the fund’s trading currency, from end-of-day prices with dividends reinvested on the ex-date. The fund’s own ongoing charges are already reflected in its price; trading costs, taxes and currency conversion are not included. Past returns do not predict future returns.

The comparison uses only the months in which both funds have prices, so the figures cover the same period even when one fund is older.

Questions

Which has returned more, DBC or CPER?

From December 2011 to October 2026, DBC returned +2.4% a year and CPER +3.1% a year, with dividends reinvested. Over rolling 3-year periods DBC did better in 30% of cases. Past returns do not predict future returns.

Which is riskier, DBC or CPER?

Over the same months annual volatility was 16.9% for DBC and 19.6% for CPER; the deepest fall from a month-end high was 61.7% and 50.0%, and the worst single month −17.3% and −14.4%.

How correlated are DBC and CPER?

The correlation of their monthly returns was 0.49: they moved together only in part. Combining them has historically smoothed the ups and downs of either one alone.

More comparisons

Source: MarketStack end-of-day prices, total return with dividends reinvested. Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.