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VIG vs NOBL: returns, risk and drawdowns compared

Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF against ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF, over the same 6 years (July 2020 to October 2026) with dividends reinvested.

Data updated October 2026

From July 2020 to October 2026, VIG returned 14.1% a year and NOBL 9.8% a year on average, so VIG came out ahead by 4.3% a year. NOBL was the more volatile of the two (15.3% against 13.6% a year), and the deepest falls from a month-end high were 20.2% for VIG and 18.0% for NOBL.

The correlation of monthly returns was 0.93: they moved almost in lockstep. Over 41 rolling 3-year periods, VIG did better in 98% and NOBL in 2%.

Side by side

VIGNOBL
Annual return (CAGR)+14.1%+9.8%
Total return+130%+81%
Annual volatility13.6%15.3%
Maximum drawdown (month-end)−20.2%−18.0%
Worst month−8.2%−9.4%
Best month+10.0%+12.0%
Positive months64%59%
Best year2021: +23.8%2021: +24.2%
Worst year2022: −9.8%2022: −7.4%
1-year return+13.5%+12.7%
5 years, a year+10.3%+5.5%
10 years, a year—+9.2%
Trading currencyUSDUSD

First nine rows: the same 76 months for both funds. Trailing returns: to each fund’s last close.

Growth of 10,000: VIG vs NOBL

10,00015,00020,000202120222023202420252026
VIG — Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETFNOBL — ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats ETF

Returns by calendar year

YearVIGNOBL
2025+14.2%+5.7%
2024+17.0%+5.6%
2023+14.5%+6.9%
2022−9.8%−7.4%
2021+23.8%+24.2%

How the figures are calculated

Total return in the fund’s trading currency, from end-of-day prices with dividends reinvested on the ex-date. The fund’s own ongoing charges are already reflected in its price; trading costs, taxes and currency conversion are not included. Past returns do not predict future returns.

The comparison uses only the months in which both funds have prices, so the figures cover the same period even when one fund is older.

Questions

Which has returned more, VIG or NOBL?

From July 2020 to October 2026, VIG returned +14.1% a year and NOBL +9.8% a year, with dividends reinvested. Over rolling 3-year periods VIG did better in 98% of cases. Past returns do not predict future returns.

Which is riskier, VIG or NOBL?

Over the same months annual volatility was 13.6% for VIG and 15.3% for NOBL; the deepest fall from a month-end high was 20.2% and 18.0%, and the worst single month −8.2% and −9.4%.

How correlated are VIG and NOBL?

The correlation of their monthly returns was 0.93: they moved almost in lockstep. Holding both adds little diversification compared with holding one.

More comparisons

Source: MarketStack end-of-day prices, total return with dividends reinvested. Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.