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BLV: Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETF returns, drawdowns and risk

Broad bond funds that mix government, corporate and mortgage bonds in one holding.

Data updated October 2026

BLV · US exchange · USDCategory: Aggregate bond ETFsData from April 2007

From April 2007 to October 2026 BLV returned 3.9% a year on average with dividends reinvested, in US dollars: $10,000 invested at the start grew to $21,197.

Its deepest fall was 38.3%, from August 2020 to October 2023, and it has not yet returned to the previous high. Annual volatility was 11.5%; at the last close it was 27.5% below its high.

Against AGG (iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF), over the 234 months both have data, the correlation of monthly returns was 0.94: they moved almost in lockstep. Beta was 2.24. In months when AGG rose, BLV moved 214% as much on average; in months when AGG fell, 252% as much.

Key figures

Annual return (CAGR)
+3.9%
1-year return
−6.9%
5 years, a year
−4.6%
10 years, a year
+0.2%
Annual volatility
11.5%
Maximum drawdown
−38.3%
Sharpe ratio
0.25
Worst year
2022: −26.9%

Trailing returns

PeriodBLVAGG
1 year−6.9%−1.9%
3 years, a year+5.3%+5.2%
5 years, a year−4.6%−0.3%
10 years, a year+0.2%+1.2%

To the last close of October 2026. Periods longer than a year are annualised.

Growth of $10,000: BLV vs AGG

$10,000$20,0002008201120142017202020232026
BLV — Vanguard Long-Term Bond ETFAGG — iShares Core U.S. Aggregate Bond ETF

Month-end values from May 2007, the first month both funds have data.

BLV drawdowns

-20%0%2008201120142017202020232026

Percentage below the previous high, weekly.

Returns by calendar year

YearBLVAGG
2026(partial)−4.2%−1.8%
2025+6.4%+7.2%
2024−3.6%+1.3%
2023+7.3%+5.7%
2022−27.0%−13.0%
2021−2.9%−1.8%
2020+15.8%+7.5%
2019+19.0%+8.5%
2018−4.2%+0.1%
2017+10.7%+3.5%
2016+6.8%+2.4%
2015−4.0%+0.5%
2014+20.3%+6.0%
2013−8.9%−2.0%
2012+8.3%+3.8%
2011+23.0%+7.7%
2010+10.0%+6.4%
2009+0.5%+3.0%
2008+10.3%+7.9%
2007(partial)+6.3%—

How the figures are calculated

Total return in the fund’s trading currency, from end-of-day prices with dividends reinvested on the ex-date. The fund’s own ongoing charges are already reflected in its price; trading costs, taxes and currency conversion are not included. Past returns do not predict future returns.

Sharpe ratio uses the return of short-term government bills in the same currency as the risk-free rate. The growth chart uses month-end values; drawdowns and volatility use daily closes.

Questions

What is the average annual return of BLV?

From April 2007 to October 2026 BLV returned 3.9% a year on average (CAGR) with dividends reinvested, in USD. Over the last 5 years: −4.6% a year. Over the last 12 months: −6.9%.

What was the worst drawdown of BLV?

38.3%, from August 2020 to October 2023; it has not yet returned to the previous high.

How volatile is BLV?

Annual volatility was 11.5% over the period. Its worst month was −9.5% and 56% of months were positive. Worst calendar year: 2022 (−26.9%).

How closely does BLV follow AGG?

Over 234 months the correlation of monthly returns was 0.94, so they moved almost in lockstep, with a beta of 2.24.

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Source: MarketStack end-of-day prices, total return with dividends reinvested. Figures are historical and descriptive; they are not forecasts and not investment advice. MEDGE Capital does not recommend buying or selling any instrument. Risk disclaimer.